Sunday, October 27, 2013

21-27 October 2013

SCROLL DOWN FOR EASTERN CONGO, RWANDA, UGANDA

BURUNDI
  • The recent and increasingly prevalent phenomenon of power-sharing in Africa raises questions about its value for state legitimacy, especially as far as elections are concerned. While there are various circumstances that may give rise to power-sharing, comparative insights from the case studies in this article highlight two trends: first, power-sharing following protracted violent conflicts that have been resolved through negotiated settlement; and second, power-sharing following electoral contests that went awry. In both cases, power-sharing has been employed as an instrument for conflict management. The article explores power-sharing experiments in both scenarios, investigating its utility as an instrument of democratisation. However, the results of power-sharing experiments are not uniform: the record is a mixed bag. Also, the context of, and peculiar circumstances in, each country have determined power-sharing outcomes. In post-war situations such as in Burundi and South Africa, power-sharing experiments have bolstered prospects for consociational democracy, institutionalised politics, and nation-building. Conversely, in post-election crisis experiments such as in Kenya and Zimbabwe, power-sharing arrangements have not really served the ideal of consociational democracy but, rather, the interests of political elites, especially their appetite for state power.

    tags: burundi africa democratization power-sharing elections analysis

  • Once again, Burundi is at crossroads. As the 2015 elections approach, Jean Claude Nkundwa analyses the current political situation and the risks the country is facing.

    tags: burundi 2015 elections nkurunziza dissent governance donors analysis

EASTERN CONGO
  • Today President Joseph Kabila finally addressed the nation and a joint session of parliament in Kinshasa. It was his response to the conclusions of the concertations nationales, which had brought together the government, opposition, and civil society to debate the challenges facing the country. The concertations were a strange forum. Proposed by the opposition to deal with the legitimacy crisis following the flawed 2011 elections, then transformed to debate a wide array of challenges facing the country––except the 2011 elections––that would usually be addressed through traditional, constitutional means: parliament, or the court system.  Nonetheless, the concertations produced a substantial list of recommendations, and Kabila seized on several.

    tags: congo national consultations recommendations kabila analysis

  • President Joseph Kabila expressed the view of many Congolese when he said, during his speech to the country today, that the Kampala talks have dragged on for too long.

    tags: congo rwanda uganda M23 peace talks kampala analysis

  • There is a new scramble for Africa. Roads, railways and pipelines are being built or envisioned into the interior of central Africa from multiple directions. Africa’s geographic tragedy through the ages has been its isolation, which has been among the main causes of its poverty. Despite possessing a long coastline, Africa has relatively few natural deep-water harbors. Its great rivers are generally not navigable from the interior to the various seaboards. The Sahara Desert has acted as a barrier to human contact with the great Eurasian civilizations. Of course, electronic communications in recent decades have worked to dilute such isolation. But these new pathways may promise a further, pivotal leap in terms of connecting Africa to the outer world.

    tags: congo rwanda burundi uganda africa geography roads connectivity analysis

  • Despite increasing attention to the scope and importance of child soldiering globally, there is still limited systematic research on the successes and challenges of reintegration programming for former underage combatants. While the importance of undertaking reintegration programming has been recognized as an important step for both reintegrating individuals into communities and promoting peace and security at a societal level, significant gaps in understanding how to implement sustainable and successful reintegration programming remain. This project uses DRC as a case study to examine the community experiences and attitudes around Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration (DDR) programming to generate lessons learned for improving future programming for former underage combatants and at-risk youth.

    tags: congo kivu youth child soldiers reintegration demobilization DDR analysis

  • South Kivu: Identity, territory, and power in the Eastern Congo by Koen Vlassenroot outlines the historical dynamics behind the armed movements in South Kivu, focusing on the period before and leading up to the First Congo War. The province of South Kivu has been at the heart of the conflict in the eastern DRC. Since the end of the Second Congo War (1998–2003), the province’s potential to cause broader regional destabilization has decreased, but violent local conflicts have multiplied, fuelled by political opportunism and local struggles over land and power. The report concentrates on sources of local conflict but argues that these can only be understood when also concentrating on wider political, social, economic, and demographic processes at both national and regional levels.

    tags: congo south kivu war land power local conflict banyamulenge analysis

RWANDA
UGANDA
  • This paper begins by noting that Uganda has been a public sector reform leader in Africa. It has pursued reforms actively and consistently for three decades now, and has produced many laws, processes and structures that are ‘best in class’ in Africa (and beyond). The problem is that many of the reforms have been limited to these kinds of gains—producing new institutional forms that function poorly and yield limited impacts. Various kinds of data showed—in various areas (civil service and public administration, public financial management, revenue management, procurement, and anti-corruption)—that laws are often not being implemented, processes are being poorly executed, and there is insufficient follow-up to make sure that new mechanisms work as intended. The paper suggests that government should reframe its reform agenda to address these limitations and close the gaps between what Uganda’s system looks like and how it functions.

    tags: uganda public reform growth institutions development governance analysis

  • We establish the relationship between economic growth and employment in Uganda (2006–2011). We obtained data from World Development Indicators, Uganda National Household Panel Survey (2011) and United Nations Statistical Data Base and we adopted the Job Generation and Decomposition (JoGGs) Tool of the World Bank for the analysis. The growth profile for the period 2006–2011 was jobless as evidenced by 36% change in per capita GDP emerging from a decrease in the employment rate. Agricultural sector registered the greatest dampening effect on overall value added per person and to the share of the employed in the population of working age by 31% and 6.5%, respectively. Manufacturing sector contributed positively to the change in per capita GDP by 8% but negatively to change in total employment rate by 0.2%. Positive contributions to the employment rate and per capita GDP were observed in the services and industrial sectors. It is further noted that productivity or output per worker contributed over 100% to the overall growth in value added per person. In terms of labor productivity, the lowest was in the agricultural sector and the highest was in the industry followed by the services sector. The inter-sectoral shifts positively contributed to labor productivity which implies that there was a relocation of labor from less efficient to more efficient sectors. The demographic transition is a promising source of increase in per capita income; the dependence ratio has reduced and this has clear dampening effect on poverty.

    tags: uganda growth labor employment analysis

 

Sunday, October 20, 2013

14-20 October 2013

SCROLL DOWN FOR EASTERN CONGO, RWANDA, UGANDA
 
BURUNDI
  • The 2013 Global Hunger Index (GHI) report—the eighth in an annual series—presents a multidimensional measure of national, regional, and global hunger. It shows that the world has made some progress in reducing hunger since 1990, but still has far to go. World hunger remains “serious,” and 19 countries suffer from levels of hunger that are either “alarming” or “extremely alarming.”

    tags: burundi rwanda uganda global hunger index food policy analysis

  • Kieran Holmes exudes an understated confidence when discussing his job as head of the Office Burundais des Recettes (OBR). And well he might, having just rolled out wide-ranging reforms in a country that in 2008 he says had “close to zero capacity for tax collection”. In the last five years the OBR has increased government revenue from 300 to 560 billion Burundian francs. Holmes asserts that they should be able to double this again in the next 5 years. Before he came to Burundi Holmes spent 8 years reforming the tax system in Rwanda. And whilst the 2 countries have less in common than their geographical proximity might suggest, Holmes states that the process has been pretty much the same in Burundi as in its neighbour. “In every country you do this reform in you get a steep projection of revenue” says Holmes – well illustrated by that fact that when it was carried out in Lesotho revenue improved by 2000 percent in 6 and a half years.

    tags: burundi rwanda tax system revenue interview report

  • Comment les Africains, et plus particulièrement les citoyens du Rwanda et du Burundi ont ils vécu le fait colonial ? Comment ont ils ressenti la mise à l’écart d’Imana, le dieu unique qui garantissait l’équilibre de la société, vécu la dépréciation voire la négation de leur culture, le travestissement des relations interethniques devenues antagonistes, comment ont ils subi les corvées, les innombrables travaux obligatoires qui leur furent imposés au nom du « progrès » et «pour leur bien »…A vrai dire, l’histoire ayant été essentiellement écrite par les conquérants, les coloniaux et même les anthropologues venus du Nord, on ignore à peu près tout du « vécu » et des sentiments des populations concernées.

    tags: burundi history colonialism book review

EASTERN CONGO
RWANDA
UGANDA
  • This study compares risk attitudes of smallholder farmers elicited from two different lottery designs (i) with fixed payoffs and changing probabilities and (ii) with fixed probabilities and changing payoffs. We utilize a combination of experimental and household survey data collected from 332 randomly selected smallholder coffee farmers in Uganda. Both methods reveal high proportions of farmers who are classified as risk averse. However, comparing the different risk categories shows that the two elicitation methods yield significantly different results. Furthermore, we relatively find low inconsistency rates in the response behavior for the two methods compared to other studies in the past. Specific socio-demographic and socioeconomic characteristics also affect farmers’ risk attitudes.

    tags: uganda field experiment smallholder coffee farming risk analysis

  • Despite growing interest in the linkages between taxation, development and governance, surprisingly little attention has been paid to the relationship between taxation and people’s livelihoods, particularly in places affected by conflict. Yet, it is in these contexts that people encounter fierce challenges to livelihood recovery, often finding themselves operating in a political economy environment that is at once complex and shifting, as well as brutal and exploitative. People affected by conflict tend to have urgent service-related needs, and violent conflicts can erode trust in governance actor. Drawing on a recent working paper (Lough et al., 2013), this evidence brief provides an overview of the evidence base when exploring the relationship between taxation and livelihoods in conflict affected situations. It discusses the geographical, methodological and thematic nature of the evidence base, summarises key findings, clarifies what the research means for policy-makers, and provides links to relevant empirical material.

    tags: uganda war state fragility taxation livelihoods analysis

 

 

 

Sunday, October 13, 2013

7-13 October 2013

SCROLL DOWN FOR EASTERN CONGO, RWANDA, UGANDA

BURUNDI
EASTERN CONGO
RWANDA
UGANDA
  • Property rights have been noted to increasingly play a central role in the management of land resources. This paper examines the implications of land tenure on soil conservation on the slopes of Mt Elgon, Eastern Uganda. Primary data were obtained through household surveys and field observations conducted in Tsekululu Sub County, Bubulo County, Manafwa District, Eastern Uganda between September and December 2012. The sampled parishes were stratified according to their distance from the Park boundary. SPSS (16) was used to compute descriptive statistics such as frequencies and percentages. Check dams and gulley controls were the most common structural measures adopted by farmers in all the three sites, although, overall the level of adoption by park-adjacent communities was lower compared to distant ones, whose reluctance to invest in long term conservation techniques is attributable to the tenure insecurity, while the high adoption rate by distant communities is owed to the transferability, alienability, exclusivity and enforceability rights that secure private land. Thus, a policy environment that guarantees tenure security of park adjacent farmers could help in incentivizing investment in soil conservation. Success thereof will be achieved if the politicians, Park Authorities and local communities jointly participate in their design and implementation.

    tags: uganda land soil national park ecology analysis

  • This study on female entrepreneurs in Western Uganda provides empirical evidence on the socio-economic effects of participation in a microfinance cooperative of both the female entrepreneur and her husband. Participation by female entrepreneurs in a microfinance cooperative is not an unconditional blessing: even though it does deliver higher household incomes, it might also deteriorate the female's household decision-making power when her husband participates in the same self-help group of the microfinance cooperative. This offers new insights for development policy and for entrepreneurship scholars to study the bright and dark sides of microfinance.

    tags: uganda microfinance decision-making gender analysis

  • Among farmers worldwide, and in particular in developing countries and transition economies, genetically modified (GM) crops have progressively grown in popularity and are now planted in approximately 160 million hectares in 29 countries. In the discussions of biosafety regulations for GM crops and whether to approve such crops for commercialization, many countries, including some African nations, have gone beyond environmental assessments and are now introducing socioeconomic considerations as part of their decisionmaking process. While there is scientific consensus that GM crops are as safe as conventional crops, these additional regulatory layers may be motivated by policymakers’ concerns regarding public perception. There are, however, very few guidelines on how to ensure that this inclusion of socioeconomic considerations results in a robust and efficient decisionmaking process. Socioeconomic Considerations in Biosafety Decisionmaking: Methods and Implementation provides guidance to professionals involved in assessing the ex ante impact of a GM crop in the context of an approval process. Using the case of GM cotton in Uganda, the authors illustrate the evaluation of socioeconomic impact on farmers, the national economy, and trade.

    tags: uganda food decisionmaking biosafety cotton crops analysis

  • This book is based in the premise that empowered women and men are more successful farmers who are more able to make the most of the opportunities around them. It argues that there is a causal relation between more equal gender relations in the household and in the community, and better agricultural outcomes. Standard development interventions such as more extension services, better information, more fertilizer, better machinery – will not fully achieve their goals unless women and men are on equal footing and unhindered by gender norms that limit what is ‘appropriate’ from them to do or be.

    tags: uganda sub-saharan africa agriculture gender analysis

  • There has long been an emphasis on the importance of decentralization in providing better quality public services in the developing world. In order to assess the effectiveness of decentralization I examine here the case study of Uganda, which has seen major decentralization of power over the last quarter-century. Initial excitement about Uganda’s decentralization programme has, however, tapered off in recent years due to a number of problems outlined here. I suggest that many of these problems are the consequence of broader problems of poor state capacity and institutions that are endemic in developing countries.

    tags: Uganda decentralization local government public goods taxation analysis

  • Family structure effects on early sexual debut among adolescent girls in Rakai, Uganda | Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies

    This study assessed the association between household family structure and early sexual debut among adolescent girls, ages 15–19, in rural Rakai District, Uganda. Early sexual debut is associated with detrimental physical, emotional, and social outcomes, including increased risk of HIV. However, research on the family’s role on adolescents’ sexual risk behaviors in sub-Saharan Africa has been minimal and rarely takes into account the varying family structures within which African adolescents develop. Using six rounds of survey data (2001–2008) from the Rakai Community Cohort Study, unmarried adolescent girls (n = 1940) aged 15–17 at their baseline survey, were followed until age 19. Parametric survival models showed that compared to adolescent girls living with both biological parents, girls who headed their own household and girls living with stepfathers, grandparents, siblings, or other relatives had significantly higher hazards of early sexual debut before age 16. Adolescent girls were significantly more likely to debut sexually if neither parent resided in the household, either due to death or other reasons. In addition, the absence of the living biological father from the home was associated with a higher risk of sexual debut, regardless of the biological mother’s presence in the home. Our study’s findings suggest that family structure is important to adolescent girls’ sexual behavior. There is need for research to understand the underlying processes, interactions, and dynamics of both low and high-risk family structures in order to devise and strategically target interventions for specific types of family structures.

    tags: uganda children youth sexual debut analysis

 

Monday, October 7, 2013

30 September - 6 October 2013

SCROLL DOWN FOR EASTERN CONGO, RWANDA, UGANDA
BURUNDI
  • 'We have no influence'. International discourse and the instrumentalisation of transitional justice | Stability    
  • Burundi may soon reach yet another crossroads in its tumultuous history and on its path towards transitional justice. A contentious draft law for a Truth and Reconciliation Commission awaits approval by the country’s National Assembly, which has raised a number of concerns about the independence of the eventual commission, the likelihood of popular participation in the process and the prospects for criminal justice. But as this practice note seeks to demonstrate, the international community in Burundi may in fact be contributing to the instrumentalisation of the process. The note highlights how the discourse of the international community may partially facilitate a certain duplicity among influential figures within the current government, particularly with respect to compliance with stipulations under the 2000 Arusha Peace Agreement. Two common rationalisations in particular are explained that have seemingly emerged among the international community with respect to transitional justice and that are at the heart of this instrumentalisation: outside imposition and a lack of influence. The note argues that since transitional justice can no longer be regarded as an apolitical process, international actors must be more cognisant of their actions and discourse with a view to ensuring credible transitional justice processes in contexts like Burundi.
  • tags: burundi transitional justice international community analysis
EASTERN CONGO
RWANDA
  • The International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) and the Special Court for Sierra Leone (SCSL) were created to deliver accountability for the atrocities committed during Rwanda's genocide of 1994 and Sierra Leone's civil war of the 1990s. The capacity of these courts, however, like other international criminal tribunals, is limited in terms of the number of persons they can prosecute. If most perpetrators evade justice, the ability of international tribunals to deliver accountability may be seriously undermined. To mitigate this risk, national justice systems should deal with the perpetrators who are not addressed by international tribunals. When national systems do not do so (or fail to do so effectively), international tribunals are well placed to encourage (or improve) national atrocity-related judicial proceedings, thereby increasing their chances of delivering accountability. This article assesses empirically the impact of the ICTR and SCSL on national atrocity-related judicial proceedings in their target countries, thus contributing to an overall assessment of these tribunals. The article also compares the national impact of the ‘pure international’ ICTR to that of the ‘hybrid’ SCSL and tries to identify features that affect the national impact of an international tribunal. Understanding the interactions between international and national justice systems, and the features that affect the national impact of international tribunals, is particularly important given the shift to ‘positive complementarity’ at the International Criminal Court.

    tags: rwanda international courts domestic justice analysis

  • Agricultural policies in Rwanda focus on agricultural intensification and increased market orientation of the smallholder farm sector. Cooperatives are seen as key vehicles in this but little is known about their effectiveness to achieve these goals. In this paper we analyze the impact of cooperative membership on agricultural performance for rural households in Rwanda. Cross-sectional household data, collected in 2012, are used to analyze the impact of cooperative membership on different agricultural performance indicators. We specifically look at the diversity in cooperatives and distinguish different types of cooperatives in several ways. We use several econometric techniques to deal with potential selection bias in estimating the impact of cooperative membership, including a proxy variable method based on a willingness to pay measure and propensity score matching (PSM) methods. We find that cooperative membership in general has a positive impact on different farm performance indicators but that these effects are driven be specific types of cooperatives.

    tags: rwanda agricultural cooperatives productivity analysis

  • Last Sunday at Cooper Union’s Great Hall on Manhattan’s Lower West Side, hundreds of people–who paid between $20 and $10–gathered to watch a discussion by Elie Wiesel and the President of Rwanda, Paul Kagame, that was titled: “Genocide: Do the strong have an obligation to protect the weak?”

    tags: Rwanda kagame jews israel debate report

  • This is one of the many questions, people ask, reflecting on who the Rwandan president works for particularly looking at the scale of atrocities he is responsible of in the Great Lakes region for so many years.

    tags: rwanda kagame opinion

  • In this paper, I consider the strengths and weaknesses of including local actors in governance assessments through an analysis of the Rwandan Joint Governance Assessment (JGA) and its supporting institutions. The JGA is the first and only governance assessment produced and approved by donors and a recipient country. The approach is seen by many as a model to replicate elsewhere, because it combines donors' need to assess governance in the countries in which they work with a desire for context sensitivity and local ownership. However, local and/or joint approaches may also face a variety of problems ranging from implementation difficulties to the risk of political co-optation. The case study presented in this paper highlights the practical and political challenges faced during the implementation of the JGA and analyses to what extent these have the potential to compromise the approach. For both the donors and the recipient government, the process represents unknown terrain in which they continually struggle to position themselves. The findings also point to more general problems that can arise when international frameworks are embedded in local contexts.

    tags: rwanda joint governance assessment governance donors aid politics analysis

UGANDA
  • This study assessed the association between household family structure and early sexual debut among adolescent girls, ages 15–19, in rural Rakai District, Uganda. Early sexual debut is associated with detrimental physical, emotional, and social outcomes, including increased risk of HIV. However, research on the family’s role on adolescents’ sexual risk behaviors in sub-Saharan Africa has been minimal and rarely takes into account the varying family structures within which African adolescents develop. Using six rounds of survey data (2001–2008) from the Rakai Community Cohort Study, unmarried adolescent girls (n = 1940) aged 15–17 at their baseline survey, were followed until age 19. Parametric survival models showed that compared to adolescent girls living with both biological parents, girls who headed their own household and girls living with stepfathers, grandparents, siblings, or other relatives had significantly higher hazards of early sexual debut before age 16. Adolescent girls were significantly more likely to debut sexually if neither parent resided in the household, either due to death or other reasons. In addition, the absence of the living biological father from the home was associated with a higher risk of sexual debut, regardless of the biological mother’s presence in the home. Our study’s findings suggest that family structure is important to adolescent girls’ sexual behavior. There is need for research to understand the underlying processes, interactions, and dynamics of both low and high-risk family structures in order to devise and strategically target interventions for specific types of family structures.

    tags: uganda children youth sexual debut analysis

  • Six years after the guns fell silent, and months into the second iteration of the Peace, Recovery and Development Programme (PRDP), the question of whether northern Uganda is truly at peace remains unanswered in many people’s minds. An examination of regional and sub-regional conflict drivers by the three members of the Advisory Consortium on Conflict Sensitivity (ACCS) - International Alert, Refugee Law Project, Saferworld - over 2010-2012 aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of conflict drivers that have the potential to undermine development and peacebuilding efforts underway in PRDP II. It focuses on people’s perceptions of whether the PRDPs and associated interventions are increasing the likelihood of long-term peace and stability in the region.

    tags: uganda conflict perceptions drivers of violence analysis